Blog List

Thursday 2 June 2016

Estimation of demand for wood panels in Iran by the year of 2012

Published Date
Volume 20, Issue 2, pp 179-182
First online: 

Title

Estimation of demand for wood panels in Iran by the year of 2012


  • Author 
  • Majid Azizi 
  • Payam Ghorbannezhad
  • Hamid Hatefnia

    Abstract
  • Considering increasing rate of Iran population and consumption of wood panels, the authors investigated the per capita consumption of wood panels during the years from 1997 to 2007. The exponential smoothing method was used to obtain a per capita consumption pattern of wood panels in Iran for estimating demand of wood panels by the year of 2012. Results show that the consumption of particleboard, fiberboard, and medium density fiberboard in Iran will increase by 33%, 72% and 107 %, respectively, by the year of 2012; however, the consumption of plywood will increase only by 7% by 2012. The deficient amount of wood panels in Iran is estimated over 1400 000 m3. The results of this study provide the technique reference for planners of wood panel industries in Iran in capital investment decisions.

    Keywords

    wood panels exponential smoothing estimating Iran wood panel demand
    References 

  1. Alexander K, Handfield RB. 2003. An industrial application of time series forecasting of lumber demand (M.Sc thesis). Carolina State: North Carolina State University publication, p87.
  2. Amiri S. 1990. Review the production and import of wood in Iran. Iran Natural Resources Journal44: 39–56.
  3. Azizi M. 2008. A model of supplying poplar wood for Iranian paper & wood factories. Journal of Forestry Research19(4): 323–328.CrossRef
  4. Azizi M, Faezipour M. 2006. Consumption forecasting of Iran plywood industry with respect to its substitution rate building applications. Journal of Applied Science6(5): 1040–1046.CrossRef
  5. Billah B, King LM, Snyder DR, Koehler BA. 2006. Exponential smoothing model selection for forecasting. International journal of forecasting22: 239–247.CrossRef
  6. Frazier GD. 1965. Estimated demand for lumber and plywood in Hawaii by the year 2000 (Res. Paper PSW-RP-23. Berkeley, Forest Service). U.S.: U.S. Department of Agriculture publication, p9.
  7. Gardner ES. 1998. Exponential smoothing: The state of the art. Journal of forecasting4: 1–28.CrossRef
  8. Howard JL. 2001. Timber production, trade, consumption, and price statistics 1965 to 1999 (Res.Pap.FPL-RP-595, technical report). USDA: USDA publication, p76.
  9. Makridakis S, Andersen A, Carbone R, Fildes R, Hibon M, Lewandowski R, et al. 1982. The accuracy of extrapolation (time series) methods: results of forecasting competition. Journal of Forecasting1: 111–153.CrossRef
  10. Makridakis S, Hibon M. 2000. The m3-competition: results, conclusions and implications. International Journal of Forecasting16: 451–476.CrossRef
  11. Makridakis S, Wheelwright SC, Hyndman RJ. 1998. Forecasting: methods and applications (3rd ed). New York: John Willey & Sons publication, p994.

  • For further details log on website :

No comments:

Post a Comment

Advantages and Disadvantages of Fasting for Runners

Author BY   ANDREA CESPEDES  Food is fuel, especially for serious runners who need a lot of energy. It may seem counterintuiti...