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Xiao-jun Wang (xjwang@nhri.cn), Jian-yun Zhang, Shahid Shamsuddin, Ru-lin Oyang, Tie-sheng Guan, Jian-guo Xue and Xu Zhang
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Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 2017, vol. 22, issue 4, 595-608
Abstract: Abstract We present a methodology for using a domestic water use time series that were obtained from Yellow River Conservancy Commission, together with the climatic records from the National Climate Center of China to evaluate the effects of climate variability on water use in the Yellow River Basin. A suit of seven Global Circulation Models (GCMs) were adopted to anticipate future climate patterns in the Yellow River. The historical records showed evidences of rises in temperature and subsequent rises in domestic water demand in the basin. For Upstream of Longyangxia region, the impact was the least, with only 0.0021 × 108 m3 for a temperature increase of 1 °C; while for Longyangxia-Lanzhou region, domestic water use was found to increase to 0.18 × 108 m3 when temperature increases 1 °C. Downstream of Huayuankou was the region with the most changes in temperature that gave the highest increase of 1.95 × 108 m3 in domestic water demand for 1 °C of change of temperature. Downstream of Huayuankou was identified as the most vulnerable area, where domestic water demand increases nearly by 42.2 % with 1 °C increase of temperature. Judging from the trends of temperature range, we concluded that future temperature in Yellow River Basin has an increasing tendency. This could worsen the existing issues of domestic water demand and even more to trigger high competition among different water-using sectors.
Keywords: Climate change; Domestic water demand; Water resources management; Yellow River Basin; Regression analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Xiao-jun Wang (xjwang@nhri.cn), Jian-yun Zhang, Shahid Shamsuddin, Ru-lin Oyang, Tie-sheng Guan, Jian-guo Xue and Xu Zhang
Additional contact information
Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, 2017, vol. 22, issue 4, 595-608
Abstract: Abstract We present a methodology for using a domestic water use time series that were obtained from Yellow River Conservancy Commission, together with the climatic records from the National Climate Center of China to evaluate the effects of climate variability on water use in the Yellow River Basin. A suit of seven Global Circulation Models (GCMs) were adopted to anticipate future climate patterns in the Yellow River. The historical records showed evidences of rises in temperature and subsequent rises in domestic water demand in the basin. For Upstream of Longyangxia region, the impact was the least, with only 0.0021 × 108 m3 for a temperature increase of 1 °C; while for Longyangxia-Lanzhou region, domestic water use was found to increase to 0.18 × 108 m3 when temperature increases 1 °C. Downstream of Huayuankou was the region with the most changes in temperature that gave the highest increase of 1.95 × 108 m3 in domestic water demand for 1 °C of change of temperature. Downstream of Huayuankou was identified as the most vulnerable area, where domestic water demand increases nearly by 42.2 % with 1 °C increase of temperature. Judging from the trends of temperature range, we concluded that future temperature in Yellow River Basin has an increasing tendency. This could worsen the existing issues of domestic water demand and even more to trigger high competition among different water-using sectors.
Keywords: Climate change; Domestic water demand; Water resources management; Yellow River Basin; Regression analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s11027-015-9689-1 Abstract (text/html)
Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text
Persistent link: http://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:spr:masfgc:v:22:y:2017:i:4:d:10.1007_s11027-015-9689-1
Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.springer.com/economics/journal/11027
Access Statistics for this article
Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change is currently edited by Robert Dixon
More articles in Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change from Springer
Series data maintained by Sonal Shukla (sonal.shukla@springer.com).
For further details log on website :
http://econpapers.repec.org/article/sprmasfgc/v_3a22_3ay_3a2017_3ai_3a4_3ad_3a10.1007_5fs11027-015-9689-1.htm
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