Consequences of increasing bioenergy demand on wood and forests: An application of the Global Forest Products Model

Published Date

Volume 17, Issue 2, April 2011, Pages 214-229

Author 

Buongiorno, J.^a , 

Raunikar, R.^b, 

Zhu, S.^a

 

^a  Department of Forest and Wildlife Ecology, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI, United States
^b  US Geological Survey, Menlo Park, CA, United States 

Abstract

The Global Forest Products Model (GFPM) was applied to project the consequences for the global forest sector of doubling the rate of growth of bioenergy demand relative to a base scenario, other drivers being maintained constant. The results showed that this would lead to the convergence of the price of fuelwood and industrial roundwood, raising the price of industrial roundwood by nearly 30% in 2030. The price of sawnwood and panels would be 15% higher. The price of paper would be 3% higher. Concurrently, the demand for all manufactured wood products would be lower in all countries, but the production would rise in countries with competitive advantage. The global value added in wood processing industries would be 1% lower in 2030. The forest stock would be 2% lower for the world and 4% lower for Asia. These effects varied substantially by country. © 2011 Department of Forest Economics, SLU Umeå, Sweden.

Author keywords

Bioenergy; Demand; Forest sector; Fuelwood; Modeling; Prices; Supply; Trade; Wood products

Indexed keywords

Bio-energy; Demand; Forest sector; Fuelwood; Modeling; Prices; Supply; Trade

Engineering controlled terms: Competition; Costs; Industry; Wood products

Engineering main heading: Commerce

GEOBASE Subject Index: bioenergy; forest product; forestry modeling; forestry production; fuelwood; timber industry; timber market; timber trade; wood

PaperChem Variable: Commerce; Competition; Costs; Demand; Forestry; Prices; Supply; Wood Products

Regional Index: Asia

ISSN: 11046899Source Type: Journal Original language: English

DOI: 10.1016/j.jfe.2011.02.008Document Type: Article

  Buongiorno, J.; Department of Forest and Wildlife Ecology, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI, United States;
© Copyright 2011 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.

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