A Qualitative Review of Vietnam's Five-year Economic Plan (2006–2010) for the Agricultural Sector and Its Prospects for Sustainability

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Phan Sy Hieu (hieu_ps@yahoo.com)
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Asian Journal of Agriculture and Development, 2014, vol. 11, issue 1, pages 39-63

Abstract: Vietnam's economy faced difficulties in the 2006–2010 period due to the global financial crisis. The average inflation rate (greater than 20%) was higher than the expected level (less than 10%) for the period. The average GDP growth rate (6.3%) was lower than the target (7.5%). In the global context, however, Vietnam's economic growth and inflation rate were still seen as successful due to the government's strong policy and administration interventions. Nevertheless, similar to the outcomes of the country's other economic plans since 1986, the key "relative targets" of the plan for 2006–2010 were not successfully achieved, including that for reduced income inequality, thus restraining Vietnam's long-term growth. The main reason is that policies implemented to achieve these goals are not at "equilibrium" quantitative points. Therefore, more investment in research that applies large-scale mathematical economics models is urgently needed, similar to the ones used widely by many other governments in the world. In addition, the government's role in managing and developing domestic markets should be improved to protect farmers who always sell their products at prices lower than the shadow prices.

Keywords: economic growth; agricultural growth; economic structure; rural development; macro-economic policy; large-scale economics-mathematics modelling (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: O21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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