LOW CARBON DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY ON LAND USE SECTOR IN CILIWUNG MIDDLE-STREAM WATERSHED

Author

Rudy P. Tambunan, Andreo W. Atmoko

Abstract

The second (2^nd) and third (3^rd) segment of  Ciliwung middle-stream watershed land use have changed drastically over the past two decades. The second (2^nd) and third (3^rd) segment of  Ciliwung middle-stream watershed land use have changed drastically over the past two decades. This paper analyses the land use change from 1989-2012 and its impact on decreasing carbon stock or increasing CO₂ eq emission, as well as to establish projected Reference Level (RL) to 2020. Best RL projection was used to establish the Low Carbon Development Strategy (LCDS) in both segments. The land use changing from 1989-2012 indicated a reduction of  green space area by 2,575.57 ha whereas the non-green space area increased by 2,575.57 ha. These changes decreases the carbon stock by 26,900 ton C and released CO eq emission by about 98,723 ton CO₂eq. Population growth, demand on land and land constraints were found to be the driving factors of  land use changes in this area. Reference Level 2020 was established based on business as usual (BAU) and forward looking (FL) scenarios. The projection showed that FL was the best scenario which estimated carbon storage at 217,610 ton C in 2020. Low carbon development strategy directed to the area of  green space added up to 20% carbon storage through the implementation of  the strategy based on green space and non-green space which covered the areas from protection, supervision, extension or awareness and law enforcement.

Keywords

Carbon stock; Ciliwung watershed; reference level; land use change

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DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.20886/ijfr.2015.2.1.55-69

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